Tuesday, June 8, 2010

2 Years, 4 Teams, 82 Picks

The past two years, the NHL has seen 4 different teams in the Stanley Cup Finals. I made the comment on Twitter the other day about sucking until you're good. I wanted to back up that statement, so all morning, I've been sifting through 10 years of drafts, analyzing and comparing. I'm only looking at the first and second round right now.

To help you read this chart, I've listed the draft year, followed by 1st round picks, then 2nd round picks, then a cumulative total of picks listed.

Detroit  ChicagoPittsburgh Philadelphia


1999=
0/1
0/2
(0)

2000=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2001=
0/1
1/2
(1)

2002=
0/1
2/2
(2)

2003=
0/1
1/2
(1)

2004=
0/1
0/2
(0)

2005=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2006=
0/1
3/2
(3)

2007=
 1/1
0/2
(1)

2008= 
1/1
0/2
(1)

2009=
0/1
2/2
(2)

1999=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2000=
2/1
1/2
(3)

2001=
2/1
1/2
(3)

2002=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2003=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2004=
1/1
4/2
(5)

2005=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2006=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2007=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2008=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2009=
1/1
1/2
(2)

1999=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2000=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2001=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2002=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2003=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2004=
1/1
2/2
(3)

2005=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2006=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2007=
1/1
1/2
(2)

2008=
0/1
0/2
(0)

2009=
1/1
1/2
(2)

1999=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2000=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2001=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2002=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2003=
2/1
0/2
(2)

2004=
0/1
0/2
(0)

2005=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2006=
1/1
3/2
(4)

2007=
1/1
1/1
(2)

2008=
1/1
0/2
(1)

2009=
0/1
0/2
(0)




Here's a quick text style breakdown:
Detroit has had 15 early round picks since 1999, only 4 in the first, and 11 in the second. (One interesting thing to note is that Kopecky, our 2nd round pick in 2000, is now on Chicago.)
Chicago has had 31 (THIRTY-ONE?!) early round picks in the same time span, including 13 first round picks. They have had nearly the same amount of first round picks as the Red Wings have had first and second round picks combined, on top of 18 second round picks.
Pittsburgh picked 22 players in the first and second rounds, 10 in the first rounds and 12 in the second.
Philadelphia rounds out the list with having only 14 first and second round picks, which is the lowest amount for any team here. But it's a very front loaded draft, with 10 picks being in the first round and only 4 picks coming in the second round.

So what does that mean?

In my eyes, it means they've been drafting Cup teams, unlike the Wings, who develop Cup winning teams.

3 comments:

  1. Being a Wings fan who lives in Chicago, this is a trend I've been aware of for a few seasons now.

    With multiple high draft picks in consecutive years -- Fleury, Crosby, Malkin, Toews, and Kane -- there's a clear comparative trend between Pittsburgh's and Chicago's ascent from worst to first.

    In short, Pittsburgh and Chicago's best are players any team would have drafted. But Detroit's best are players any team *could* have drafted.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Great Post.

    I think the real conclusion, unfortunately, is that an NHL team is more likely to make the Stanley Cup Finals if you stockpile top 5 picks, instead of trying to build a consistent winner.

    Therefore, the NHL is designed to reward complete failure. After Pittsburgh and Chicago, the trend will point to St Louis, LA, and Tampa being the next powers.

    Screw you Buffalo and Nashville, who have been consistently competitive but not bad enough to get a top pick.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Rob, excellent evidence, and much appreciate the hard work! :)

    ReplyDelete